Outbreak of Influenza in Hong Kong Worries Authorities

By Edward A. Gargan
Copyright 1997 New York Times
Reprinted with permission of
The New York Times (December 17, 1997)


HONG KONG -- Chow Hoi, his T-shirt splattered with blood, shuffled across the puddled cement floor in blue rubber slippers, plunged his hand into a wooden cage squawking with chickens and yanked out a dead bird, which he flipped on the floor. Then another. And another.

Around him, dead chickens littered the cement where a couple of dogs snored indifferently. Black plastic bags filled with dead chickens were piled by the open-air entrance to the sour-smelling Tai Fong Sing Lan chicken wholesalers.

"I've never seen anything like this," the 62-year-old chicken worker said, plopping onto a steel cage of clamoring chickens. "A thousand chickens died this morning. It's uncontrollable. There's nothing anyone can do."

What can be done is precisely the question that is ever more urgently occupying Hong Kong authorities charged with stopping the spread of an influenza virus that ran through Hong Kong's chickens and those brought in from elsewhere in China, and has infected at least nine people.

Tuesday, health authorities released detailed case histories of seven victims of the virus, two of whom died. They also announced that they had found two more, who were linked for the first time to another victim of the virus. That posed once again the crucial public health question -- can the flu be spread from human to human just as it seems to have been spread from chickens to humans?

The health authorities here were careful not to draw quick conclusions.

"The transmission of the virus both from bird to human and human to human are possible," said Dr. Margaret Chan, Hong Kong's director of health. "We have stressed that given the current evidence, there is stronger evidence to prove avian-to-human transmission, and we have never ruled out human-to-human transmission."

At the same time, Dr. Chan -- as well as other Hong Kong health authorities and Dr. Keiji Fukuda, an epidemiologist at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta -- emphasized that the virus, called H5N1, that was sweeping through the chicken population had not reached epidemic levels here.

"I don't think we have an epidemic," Dr. Chan said. "If we had an epidemic, we would have hundreds and thousands of cases."

But, Fukuda warned, "Whenever a new virus like this appears and causes a small number of cases like this, it creates tremendous concern among scientists. Influenza viruses are almost unique in their ability to spread rapidly around the world."

There have been three influenza pandemics this century. In 1957, the influenza pandemic killed between 90,000 and 100,000 in the United States alone.

Although the first death from this new virus occurred in May, when a 3-year-old child succumbed, only Tuesday did Hong Kong's health, hospital and agricultural officials meet jointly to devise steps to combat the spread of the disease.

Dr. Chan said that the committee ordered "tightened control on the import of chicken, enhanced surveillance in both man and poultry, as well as improvements in environmental hygiene in markets." Several wholesale poultry markets have been closed for inspection and cleaning, and chickens outside Hong Kong will be required to be certified by Chinese veterinarians as free from the virus.

However, because the border with the rest of China is now increasingly porous, thousands of chickens are smuggled into Hong Kong daily, according to reports in local newspapers.

Meanwhile, detailed genetic testing of the virus found in seven victims has been done by the CDC in Atlanta. Thousands of blood tests, hundreds of interviews and throat cultures of relatives and acquaintances of flu victims have been taken in an effort to determine the precise transmission of the virus.

In the two newest cases announced Tuesday, both victims are infants -- 2 and 3 years old -- who are cousins of one of the confirmed influenza cases, a child of 5. And while the cases are too recent for officials to be certain how the children contracted the virus, Dr. Chan said that they probably caught it from the first victim.

"It's possible they live together at grandma's place and play together," she said. Both were reported in satisfactory condition at a local hospital.

Fukuda said that the flu, which in this case produces classic flu symptoms of high fever, sneezing, coughing and aching, has "an attack rate highest among children. Kids are in much more contact with other kids."

Even so, he added, the apparent slowness with which the virus is spreading among humans suggests that human-to-human transmission is "inefficient."

"If you have efficient transmission," Fukuda said, "you tend to see hundreds or thousands of cases fairly quickly."

"It is an unusual virus," he added, "and there is a lot we don't understand about how it appeared, why it appeared and how it is being communicated."

While the epicenter of the new influenza strain is not certain, most scientists here believe it originated in the chicken farms of neighboring Guangdong Province, from where 80,000 to 100,000 chickens are brought into Hong Kong daily.

At the wholesale market where Chow has worked for 40 years, all of the birds come from outside Hong Kong. Under the scream of jumbo jets banking toward Hong Kong's airport, Chow said that for the first time in his work with chickens he was alarmed.

"These chickens are from Shenzhen," he said, referring to the city adjacent to Hong Kong. "We sell 3,000 chickens a day. The chickens started dying on Dec. 12. A lot of chickens are dying now."

"Actually," he said with a laugh, "I've gotten a cold and I'm worried it may be the flu. I don't have a fever, but I've been sneezing and having congestion."

And then, he moved off to begin pulling chicken carcasses from the cages stacked under the string of fluorescent lights.


Material presented on this home page constitutes opinion of the author.
Copyright © 1997 Steven J. Milloy. All rights reserved. Site developed and hosted by WestLake Solutions, Inc.
 1