Table 9.3: Summary results from case studies on energy subsidy removal (note that subsidies are defined in various ways and are not comparable) | ||||
Study | Subsidy or group of subsidies removed |
Monetary equivalent of distortion (US$ million, various years, 1988 to 1995) |
Decrease in annual CO2 emissions relative to reference scenarios resulting from reforms by 2010 million tonnes |
Other economic effects of removing subsidies |
Larsen and Shah (1995) |
Global price subsidies to consumers of fossil fuels (difference between domestic and world prices)b |
215,000 | 1366a | Enhanced economic growth. |
GREEN | Global price subsidies to consumers of fossil fuels (difference between domestic and world prices)b | 235,000 | 1,800 in 2000 1,5000 in 2050 |
Enhanced economic growth in most regions, largest in CIS. Improved terms-of-trade for non-OECD countries. |
DRI (1994) |
Coal PSEs in Europe and Japan | 5,800 | 10 (DRI estimate) >50 (OECD estimate) |
Job loss in coal industry, increased coal trade. |
Böhringer | Coal in Germany | 6,700 | NQ | Nearly 1% GDP increase. Job loss in coal industry, increased coal trade. Cost of using subsidies to maintain jobs is 94145,000 DM per job/year. Reduces cost of meeting CO2 target. |
Australia | State procurement/planning Barriers to gas and electricity trade Below-market cost financing |
133 1,400 NQ |
0.3 0.8 NQ |
Reduces cost of meeting CO2 target. Reduces cost of meeting CO2 target. |
Italy | Net budgetary subsidies to the electricity supply industry (ESI) VAT below market rate Subsidies to capital Excise tax exemption for fossil fuels use by ESI Total net and cross-subsidies |
4,000 300 1,500 700 10,000 |
12.5 0.6 3.3 5.9 19.2 |
Reduces cost of meeting CO2 target/makes CO2 tax more effective. |
Norway | Barriers to trade | NQ | 8 for Nordic region | |
Russia | Direct subsidies and price control for coal Price control/debt forgiveness for electricity consumers |
3,600 6,000 |
120 (about half caused by shift from coal to other fuels, half to reduced final energy demand) |
1% drop in employment (but note that model included no subsidy recycling mechanism). |
UK | Grants and price supports for coal and nuclear producers VAT on electricity below general rate |
2,500 1,200 |
0 to 40 0.2 |
|
USA | DFI (1993) analysis of federal subsidies DJA (1994) analysis of federal subsidies |
8,500c 15,400c |
10 64 |
GNP increased 0.2% if revenue used to reduce capital taxes. |
Source: OECD (1997c) a The model used is comparative static: emission reduction is calculated using mostly 1991 market data. b This measure of subsidies is a crude one, and does not necessarily indicate the existence of any particular government policy. c The two studies analyze different sets of energy supports and use slightly different estimates for some of them: these figures are not a reliable indication of total US federal energy subsidies. See Appendix A, Table 14, OECD (1997c) for details. Results are sensitive to assumptions regarding the future structure of the US electricity supply industry. NQ = not quantified |
Other reports in this collection |