Climate Change 2001:
Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
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11.2.3. Hydrology and Water Resources

11.2.3.1. Water Availability

One-third of the world's renewable water resources (13,500 km3 yr-1 out of 42,700 km3 yr-1) are concentrated in Asia (Shiklomanov, 2001). Water availability varies widely across the different regions of Asia, however—from 77,000 m3 yr-1 per capita to less than 1,000 m3 yr-1 per capita. Table 11-7 provides available information on renewable local water resources, water availability, and water use dynamics by natural-economic region of Asia. The major share of Asian water resources (72%) is located in four countries: Russia (3,107 km3 yr-1), China (2,700 km3 yr-1), Indonesia (2,530 km3 yr-1), and India (1,456 km3 yr-1). Water resources of the two largest river systems of Asia—the Ganges (with Brahmaputra and Meghna) and the Yangtze (Changjiang)—attain 1,389 km3 yr-1 (794 x 103 m3 yr-1 km-2) and 1,003 km3 yr-1 (554 x 103 m3 yr-1 km-2). Figure 11-11 depicts the spatial distribution of currently estimated annual mean surface runoff over Asia. The runoff distribution within a year in Asia is most uniform in the rivers of southeast Asia. Over the rest of the continent, more than half of the annual runoff is discharged during the three summer months.

Figure 11-11: Spatial distribution of currently estimated surface runoff (mm) over Asian continent (Shiklomanov, 2001).

Water availability—in terms of temporal as well as spatial distribution—is expected to be highly vulnerable to anticipated climate change. Growing populations and concentration of population in urban areas will exert increasing pressures on water availability and water quality. As reported in IPCC (1998), runoff generally is expected to increase in the high latitudes and near the equator and decrease in the mid-latitudes under anticipated climate change scenarios.

Table 11-7: Renewable local water resources, water availability, and water-use dynamics, by natural-economic regions of Asia (Shiklomanov, 2001).
Region
Area
(106 km2)
Water Resources
(km3 yr-1)
Potential Water Availability
(103 m3 yr-1)
Dynamics of Freshwater Use (km3 yr-1)a
Water Use as a Percentage of Water Resourcesa
      Forecast
per km2
per capita
1900
1950
1995
2000
2010
2025
1995
2025
Siberia and far east of Russia
12.76
3107
243
76.6
0.7
5.6
30.6
30
32
38
1.0
1.2
         
0.4
1.3
15
15
17
21
0.5
0.6
                         
North China and Mongolia
8.29
1029
124
2.13
37
98
254
273
305
373
24.7
36.2
         
30
75
182
182
194
210
17.7
20.4
                         
South Asia
4.49
1988
443
1.77
201
367
932
969
1060
1370
43.6
64.1
         
160
293
687
710
767
944
32.1
44.2
                         
Southeast Asia
6.95
6646
956
4.77
99
230
525
551
617
781
7.8
11.6
         
77
170
388
393
413
425
5.8
6.3
                         
Western Asia
6.82
490
71.8
2.11
43
91
238
248
283
346
48.5
70.6
         
34
71
174
181
201
229
35.5
46.7
                         
Central Asia and Kazakhstan
3.99
181
45.4
3.78
29
57
154
151
160
169
75.5
82.8
         
19
37
102
102
110
122
50.0
59.8
                         
Transcaucasia
0.19
67.9
358
4.63
4.2
11.4
23.7
23
26
27
32.0
36.5
         
2.1
7.1
17.5
17
19
20
23.7
27.0
Total
43.50
13510
311
3.92
414
860
2157
2245
2483
3104
16.0
23.0
         
322
654
1565
1603
1721
1971
11.6
14.6
a Nominator = total water withdrawal; denominator = water consumption.

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