Climate Change 2001:
Working Group I: The Scientific Basis
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FFigure 9.15: Simple model results: Temperature changes from (a) 1990 to 2030 and from (b) 1990 to 2100 for the six illustrative SRES scenarios and IS92a. The bottom axis indicates the AOGCM to which the simple model is tuned. For comparison results are also shown for the SAR version of the simple climate model using SAR forcing with some of the IS92 scenarios (see Kattenberg et al., 1996). IS92a H/M/L refers to the IS92a scenario with climate sensitivity of 1.5, 2.5 and 4.5°C respectively. Also shown are the IS92e scenario with a sensitivity of 4.5°C and the IS92c scenario with a sensitivity of 1.5°C.

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