Climate Change 2001:
Working Group I: The Scientific Basis
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14. Advancing Our Understanding

Contents

Executive Summary

14.1 Introduction

14.2 The Climate System

14.2.1 Overview
14.2.2 Predictability in a Chaotic System
14.2.2.1 Initialisation and flux adjustments
14.2.2.2 Balancing the need for finer scales and the need for ensembles
14.2.2.3 Extreme events
14.2.2.4 Organised variability
14.2.3 Key Sub-systems and Phenomena in the Physical-Climate System
14.2.3.1 Clouds
14.2.3.2 Thermohaline circulation
14.2.3.3 Arctic sea ice
14.2.4 The Global Carbon Cycle
14.2.4.1 The marine carbon system
14.2.4.2 The terrestrial system
14.2.5 Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and River Flow: Elements of the Hydrological Cycle
14.2.6 Trace Gases, Aerosols, and the Climate System

14.3 The Human System

14.3.1 Overview
14.3.2 Humans: Drivers of Global Change: Recipients of Global Change

14.4 Outlook

References

Co-ordinating Lead Author
B. Moore III

Lead Authors
W.L. Gates, L.J. Mata, A. Underdal

Contributing Author
R.J. Stouffer

Review Editors
B. Bolin, A. Ramirez Rojas



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