Other reports in this collection
Adcock, R.J., 1878: The Analyst (Des Moines, Iowa), 5, 53.
Allen, M.R. and S.F.B.Tett, 1999: Checking for model consistency in optimal
fingerprinting. Clim. Dyn., 15, 419-434.
Allen, M.R. and P.A. Stott, 2000: Interpreting the signal of anthropogenic
climate change I: estimation theory. Tech. Report RAL-TR-2000-045, Rutherford
Appleton Lab., Chilton, X11 0QX, UK.
Allen, M.R., N.P. Gillett, J.A. Kettleborough, R. Schnur, G.S. Jones,
T. Delworth, F. Zwiers, G. Hegerl, T.P. Barnett, 2000a: Quantifying anthropogenic
influence on recent near-surface temperature change”, Tech. Report RAL-TR-2000-046,
Rutherford Appleton Lab., Chilton, X11 0QX, UK. Also accepted in Surveys in
Geophysics.
Allen, M.R., P.A. Stott, R. Schnur, T. Delworth and J.F.B. Mitchell,
2000b: Uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change. Nature, 407,
617-620.
Angell, J.K.,1994: Global, hemispheric and zonal temperature anomalies
derived from radiosonde records. pp. 636-672. In “Trends ’93: A compendium
of data on global change” (Eds. T. A. Boden et al.), ORNL/CDIAC-65, Oak
Ridge, TN.
Bankes, H.T., R.A. Wood, J.M. Gregory, T.C. Johns and G.S Jones, 2000:
Are observed changes in intermediate water masses a signature of anthropogenic
climate change? Geophys. Res. Lett. , 27, 2961-2964.
Barnett, T.P. and M.E. Schlesinger, 1987: Detecting changes in global
climate induced by greenhouse gases. J. Geophys. Res., 92, 14772-14780.
Barnett, T.P., B.D. Santer, P.D. Jones, R.S. Bradley and K.R. Briffa,
1996: Estimates of low Frequency Natural Variability in Near-Surface Air Temperature.
The Holocene, 6, 255-263.
Barnett, T.P., K. Hasselmann, M. Chelliah, T. Delworth, G. Hegerl, P.
Jones, E. Rasmussen, E. Roeckner, C. Ropelewski, B. Santer and S. Tett, 1999:
Detection and attribution of climate change: A Status report. Bull. Am. Met.
Soc., 12, 2631-2659.
Barnett, T. P., G.C. Hegerl, T. Knutson and S.F.B. Tett, 2000: Uncertainty
levels in predicted patterns of anthropogenic climate change. J. Geophys.Res.,
105, 15525-15542.
Bengtsson, L., E.Roeckner, M.Stendel, 1999: Why is the global warming
proceeding much slower than expected. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 3865-3876.
Berliner, L.M., R.A. Levine and D.J. Shea, 2000: Bayesian climate change
assessment. J.Climate, 13, 3805-3820.
Bertrand, C., J.-P. van Ypersele, A. Berger, 1999: Volcanic and solar
impacts on climate since 1700. Clim. Dyn., 15, 355-367
Boer, G. J., G. Flato, M.C. Reader and D. Ramsden, 2000a: A transient
climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: experimental
design and comparison with the instrumental record for the 20th century. Clim.
Dyn., 16, 405-426.
Boer, G.J., G. Flato, M.C. Reader and D. Ramsden, 2000b: A transient
climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: projected
for the 21st century. Clim. Dyn., 16, 427-450.
Briffa, K.R., P.D. Jones, F.H. Schweingruber and T.J. Osborn, 1998: Influence
of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past
600 years. Nature, 393, 450-454.
Briffa, K.R., T.J. Osborn, F.H. Schweingruber, I.C. Harris, P.D. Jones,
S.G. Shiyatov and E.A. Vaganov, 2000: Low-frequency temperature variations from
a northern tree-ring density network. J.Geophys.Res. 106, 2929-2942.
Brown, L., G. Casella and T.G. Hwang, 1995: Optimal confidence sets,
bioequivalence and the limacon of Pascal. J. Amer. Statist. Soc., 90,
880-889.
Brown, S.J., D.E. Parker, C.K. Folland and I. Macadam, 2000a: Decadal
variability in the lower-tropospheric lapse rate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27,
997-1000.
Brown, S.J., D.E. Parker and D.M.H. Sexton, 2000b: Differential changes
in observed surface and atmospheric temperature since 1979. Hadley Centre Technical
Note No. 12, The Met. Office Bracknell, UK, pp41.
Chanin, M.-L. and V. Ramaswamy, 1999: “Trends in Stratospheric Temperatures”
in WMO (World Meteorological Organization), Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion:
1998, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project - Report No. 44, Geneva.
5.1-5.59
Collins, M., T.J. Osborn, S.F.B. Tett, K.R. Briffa and F.H. Schwingruber,
2000: A comparison of the variability of a climate model with a network of tree-ring
densities. Hadley Centre Technical Note 16.
Crowley, T.J., 2000: Causes of climate change over the last 1000 years,
Science, 289, 270-277.
Crowley, T.J. and K.-Y. Kim, 1996: Comparison of proxy records of climate
change and solar forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett. 23: 359-362.
Crowley, T.J. and Kim K.-Y., 1999: Modelling the temperature response
to forced climate change over the last six centuries. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26,
1901-1904.
Crowley, T.J. and T. Lowery, 2000: How warm was the Medieval warm period?
Ambio, 29, 51-54.
Cubasch, U., G.C. Hegerl and J. Waszkewitz,1996: Prediction, detection
and regional assessment of anthropogenic climate change. Geophysica, 32,
77-96.
Cubasch, U., G.C. Hegerl, R. Voss, J. Waszkewitz and T.J. Crowley, 1997:
Simulation of the influence of solar radiation variations on the global climate
with an ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. Clim. Dyn., 13, 757-767.
Delworth, T.L. and T.R. Knutson, 2000. Simulation of early 20th century
global warming. Science, 287, 2246-2250.
Dempster, A.P., 1998: Logicist statistics I. Models and modeling. Statistical
Science, 13, 248-276.
Drijfhout, S.S., R.J. Haarsma, J.D.Opsteegh, F.M. Selten, 1999: Solar-induced
versus internal variability in a coupled climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett.,
26, 205-208.
Folland, C.K., D.M.H. Sexton, D.J.K. Karoly, C.E. Johnston, D.P. Rowell
and D.E. Parker, 1998: Influences of anthropogenic and oceanic forcing on recent
climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 353-356.
Forest, C.E., M.R. Allen, P.H. Stone, A.P. Sokolov, 2000: Constraining
uncertainties in climate models using climate change detection techniques. Geophys.
Res. Lett., 27, 569-572.
Forster, P.M. and K.P. Shine, 1999: Stratospheric water vapour changes
as a possible contributor to observed stratospheric cooling. Geophys. Res. Lett.,
26,3309-3312.
Free, M. and A. Robock, 1999: Global Warming in the Context of the little
Ice Age. J.Geophys Res, 104, 19057-19070.
Froehlich, K. and J. Lean, 1998: The Sun’s Total Irradiance: Cycles,
Trends and Related Climate Change Uncertainties since 1976. Geophys. Res. Lett.,
25, 4377-4380.
Fyfe, J.C., G.J. Boer and G.M. Flato 1999: The Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations
and their projected changes under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26,
1601-1604.
Gaffen, D.J., B.D. Santer, J.S. Boyle, J.R. Christy, N.E. Graham and
R.J.Ross, 2000. Multi-decadal changes in vertical temperature structure of the
tropical troposphere. Science, 287, 1242-1245.
Gillett, N., M.R. Allen and S.F.B. Tett, 2000a: Modelled and observed
variability in atmospheric vertical temperature structure. Clim Dyn, 16,
49-61.
Gillett, N, G.C. Hegerl, M.R. Allen, P.A. Stott, 2000b: Implications
of observed changes in the Northern Hemispheric winter circulation for the detection
of anthropogenic climate change. Geophys.Res.Lett., 27, 993-996..
Graf, H.-F., I. Kirchner, I. Schult 1996: Modelling Mt. Pinatubo Climate
Effects. NATO-ASI Series, Vol 142, The Mount Pinatubo Eruption, Fiocco G and
Dua D. eds., Springer, 1996: 219-231.
Graf, H-F., I. Kirchner and J. Perlwitz,1998: Changing lower stratospheric
circulation: The role of ozone and greenhouse gases. J. Geophys. Res., 103,
11251-11261.
Grieser, J.and C.-D. Schoenwiese, 1999: Parameterization of spatio-temporal
patterns of volcanic aerosol induced stratospheric optical depth and its climate
radiative forcing. Atmosfera, 12, 111-133
Grieser, J. and C.-D. Schoenwiese, 2001: Process, forcing and signal
analysis of global mean temperature variations by means of a three box energy
balance model. Clim. Change, in press.
Haigh, J.D., 1999: A GCM study of climate change in response to the 11-year
solar cycle. Quart. J. R. Met. Soc., 125, 871-892.
Hansen J., Mki.Sato, R. Ruedy, A. Lacis, K. Asamoah, S. Borenstein, E.
Brown, B. Cairns, G. Caliri, M. Campbell, B. Curran, S. deCastro, L. Druyan
, M. Fox, C. Johnson, J. Lerner, M.P. McCormick, R. Miller, P. Minnis, A. Morrison,
L. Pandolfo, I. Ramberran, F. Zaucker, M. Robinson, P. Russell, K. Shah, P.
Stone, I. Tegen, L. Thomason, J. Wilder and H. Wilson 1996: A Pinatubo climate
modeling investgation. In “The Mount Pinatubo Eruption: Effects on the
Atmosphere and Climate”, Fiocco G and Fua Visconti G, Springer Verlag,
Berlin, pp 233-272.
Hansen, J., M. Sato and R. Reudy, 1997a: Radiative forcing and climate
response. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 6831-6864.
Hansen, J.E., M. Sato, A. Lacis and R. Reudy, 1997b: The missing climate
forcing. Roy. Soc. Phil. Trans. B, 352, 231-240.
Hansen, J.E., M.Sato, A. Lacis, R.Reudy, I .Tegen and E. Matthews, 1998.
Climate forcings in the industrial era. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 95,
12753-12758.
Harrison, R.G. and K.P. Shine, 1999: A review of recent studies of the
influence of solar changes on the Earth’s climate. Hadley Centre Tech.
Note 6. Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Meteorological Office,
Bracknell RG12 2SY UK pp 65
Hasselmann, K., 1976: Stochastic climate models. Part 1. Theory. Tellus,
28, 473-485.
Hasselmann, K., 1979. On the signal-to-noise problem in atmsopheric response
studies. Meteorology over the tropical oceans, D.B. Shaw ed., Roy Meteorol.
Soc., 251-259
Hasselmann, K., 1993: Optimal fingerprints for the Detection of Time
dependent Climate Change. J. Climate, 6: 1957-1971.
Hasselmann, K. ,1997: Multi-pattern fingerprint method for detection
and attribution of climate change. Clim. Dyn., 13: 601-612.
Hasselmann, K., 1998: Conventional and Bayesian approach to climate-change
detection and attribution. Quart. J. R. Met. Soc., 124, 2541-2565.
Hasselmann, K., L. Bengtsson , U. Cubasch, G.C. Hegerl, H. Rodhe, E.
Roeckner, H. von Storch, R.Voss and J. Waskewitz,1995: Detection of an anthropogenic
fingerprint. In:Proceedings of Modern Meteorology” Symposium in honour
of Aksle Wiin-Nielsen, 1995. P. Ditvelson (ed) ECMWF.
Haywood, J.M., R. Stouffer, R. Wetherald, S. Manabe and V. Ramaswamy,
1997: Transient response of a coupled model to estimated changes in grenhouse
gas and sulphate concentrations. Geophys. Res. Lett. , 24, 1335- 1338.
Hegerl, G.C. and G.R. North 1997: Statistically optimal methods for detecting
anthropogenic climate change. J. Climate, 10: 1125-1133.
Hegerl, G.C. and M.R. Allen, 2000: Physical interpretation of optimal
detection. Tech Report RAL-TR-2001-010, Rutherford Appleton Lab., Chilton, X11
0QX, U.K.
Hegerl, G.C., von Storch, K. Hasselmann, B.D. Santer, U. Cubasch and
P.D. Jones 1996: Detecting Greenhouse Gas induced Climate Change with an Optimal
Fingerprint Method. J. Climate, 9, 2281-2306.
Hegerl, G.C., K Hasselmann, U. Cubasch, J.F.B. Mitchell, E. Roeckner,
R. Voss and J. Waszkewitz 1997: Multi-fingerprint detection and attribution
of greenhouse gas- and aerosol forced climate change. Clim. Dyn. 13,
613-634
Hegerl, G.C., P. Stott, M. Allen, J.F.B.Mitchell, S.F.B.Tett and U.Cubasch,
2000: Detection and attribution of climate change: Sensitivity of results to
climate model differences. Clim. Dyn., 16, 737-754
Hegerl, G.C., P.D. Jones and T.P. Barnett. 2001: Effect of observational
sampling error on the detection of anthropogenic climate change. J. Climate,
14, 198-207.
Hill, D.C., M.R. Allen, P.A. Stott, 2001: Allowing for solar forcing
in the detection of human influence on atmospheric vertical temperature structures.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 1555-1558.
Hoyt, D.V. and K.H. Schatten,1993: A discussion of plausible solar irradiance
variations, 1700-1992. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 18895-18906.
IPCC, 1990: Climate change: the IPCC scientific assessment [Houghton,
J.T., G.J. Jenkins and J.J. Ephraums (eds.)] Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,
United Kingdom, 365pp.
IPCC, 1992: Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change Scientific Assessment [Houghton, J.T., B.A. Callander
and S.K. Varney (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom
and New York, NY, USA, 100 pp.
IPCC,1996: Climate Change 1995. The IPCC second scientific assessment.
Houghton JT, L.G. Meira Filho, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg , K.
Maskell (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 572 pp.
Johns, T.C., J.M. Gregory, P. Stott and J.F.B. Mitchell, 2001: Assessment
of the similarity between modelled and observed near surface temperature changes
using ensembles. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 1007-1010.
Jones, A., D.L. Roberts and M.J. Woodage, 1999: The indirect effects
of anthropogenic aerosl simulated using a climate model with an interactive
sulphur cycle . Hadley Centre Tech. Note 14. Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction
and Research, Meteorological Office, Bracknell RG12 2SY UK, pp39.
Jones, P.D. and G.C. Hegerl, 1998: Comparisons of two methods of removing
anthropogenically related variability from the near—surface observational
temperature field. J.Geophys.Res., 103, D12: 1377-13786
Jones, P.D., K.R. Briffa, T.P. Barnett and S.F.B. Tett, 1998: High-resolution
paleoclimatic records for the last millenium. The Holocene 8: 467-483.
Jones, P.D., T.J. Osborn, K.R. Briffa, C.K. Folland, B. Horton, L.V.
Alexander, D.E. Parker and N.A. Raynor, 2001:Adjusting for sampling density
in grid-box land and ocean surface temperature time series, J. Geophys. Res.,
106, 3371-3380
Karoly, D. J. and K. Braganza, 2001: Identifying global climate change
using simple indices. Geophys. Res. Lett., in press.
Karoly, D.J., J.A. Cohen, G.A. Meehl, J.F.B. Mitchell, A.H. Oort, R.J.
Stouffer, R.T. Weatherald, 1994: An example of fingerprint detection of greenhouse
climate change. Clim. Dyn, 10, 97-105.
Kattenberg, A., F. Giorgi, H. Grassl, G.A. Meehl, J.F.B. Mitchell, R.
Stouffer, T. Tokioka, A.J. Weaver and T.M.L. Wigley, 1996: Climate Models -
Projections of Future Climate. Houghton et al. (eds.), The IPCC Second Scientific
Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 285-357.
Kaufmann, R.K. and D.I. Stern, 1997: Evidence for human influence on
climate from hemispheric temperature relations. Nature, 388, 39-44.
Kelly, P.M., P.D. Jones, J. Pengqun, 1996: The spatial response of the
climate system to explosive volcanic eruptions. Int. J. Climatol. 16,
537-550.
Kim, K.-Y. and Q. Wu, 2000: Optimal detection using cyclostationary EOFs.
J. Climate, 13, 938-950.
Kim, K.-Y., G.R. North, S.S. Shen, 1996: Optimal estimation of spherical
harmonic components from a sample of spatially nonuniform covariance statistics.
J. Climate, 9, 635-645.
Kirchner, I., G.L. Stenchikov, H.-F.Graf, A.Robock and J.C.Antuna, 1999:
Climate model simulation of winter warming and summer cooling following the
1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19,039-19,055.
Knutson, T.R., T.L. Delworth, K. Dixon and R.J. Stouffer, 2000: Model
assessment of regional surface temperature trends (1949-97), J. Geophys. Res.,
104, 30981-30996.
Labitzke, K. and H.van Loon, 1997: The signal of the 11-year sunspot
cycle in the upper troposphere-lower stratosphere. Space Sci. Rev., 80,
393-410.
Lamb, H. H., 1970: Volcanic dust in the atmosphere; with a chronology
and assessment of its meteorological significance, Philosophical transactions
of the Royal Society of Londen, A 266, 425-533
Laut, P. and J. Gunderman, 1998: Does the correlation between the solar
cycle and hemispheric land temperature rule out any significant global warming
from greenhouse gases? J. Atmos. Terrest. Phys., 60, 1-3.
Lean, J., 1997: The Sun’s Variable Raditation and its relevance
for earth. Annu. Rev. Astrophys. 35, 33-67
Lean, J., J.Beer and R.Bradley, 1995: Reconstruction of solar irradiance
since 1600: Implications For climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 22,
3195-3198.
Lean, J., D. Rind, 1998: Climate Forcing by Changing Solar Radiation.
J. Climate, 11, 3069-3094.
Legates, D. R. and R. E. Davis, 1997 The continuing search for an anthropogenic
climate change signal: limitations of correlation based approaches. Geophys.
Res. Lett., 24, 2319-2322
Leroy, S., 1998: Detecting Climate Signals: Some Bayesian Aspects. J.
Climate 11, 640-651.
Levine, R.A. and L.M. Berliner, 1999: Statistical principles for climate
change studies. J. Climate, 12, 564-574.
Lockwood, M. and R. Stamper 1999: Long-term drift of the coronal source
magnetic flux and the total solar irradiance, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26,
2461-2464
Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, M.K. Hughes, 1998: Global scale tmperature
patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries. Nature, 392,
779-787.
Mann, M.E., E. Gille, R.S. Bradley, M.K. Hughes, J.T. Overpeck, F.T.
Keimig and W. Gross, 2000b: Global temperature patterns in past centuries: An
interactive presentation. Earth Interactions, 4/4, 1-29.
Mao, J. and A. Robock, 1998: Surface air temperature simulations by AMIP
general circulation models: Volcanic and ENSO signals and systematic errors.
J. Climate, 11, 1538-1552.
Michaels, P.J. and P.C. Knappenburger, 1996: Human effect on global climate?
Nature, 384, 523-524.
Mitchell, J.F.B. and T.C. Johns, 1997: On the modification of greenhouse
warming by sulphate aerosols. J. Climate, 10, 245-267
Mitchell, J.F.B., R.A. Davis, W.J. Ingram and C.A. Senior, 1995a: On
surface temperature, greenhouse Gases and aerosols, models and observations.
J. Climate, 10, 2364-3286.
Mitchell, J.F.B., T.J. Johns, J.M. Gregory and S.F.B. Tett, 1995b: Transient
climate response to Increasing sulphate aerosols and greenhouse gases. Nature,
376, 501-504.
National Academy of Sciences, 2000; Reconciling observations of global
temperature change. 85pp. Nat. Acad. Press, Washington, DC.
North, G.R. and M. Stevens,1998: Detecting Climate Signals in the Surface
Temperature Record. J. Climate, 11,: 563-577.
North, G.R. and Q. Wu, 2001: Detecting Climate Signals Using Space Time
EOFs. J. Climate, 14, 1839-1863.
North, G.R., K-Y Kim, S. Shen and J.W. Hardin 1995: Detection of Forced
Climate Signals, Part I: Filter Theory. J. Climate, 8, 401-408.
Osborn, T.J., K.R. Briffa, S.F.B. Tett, P.D. Jones and R.M. Trigo, 1999:
Evaluation of the North Atlantic Oscillation as simulated by a coupled climate
model. Clim. Dyn. 15, 685-702.
Overpeck, J., K. Hughen, D. Hardy, R. Bradley, R. Case, M. Douglas, B.
Finney, K. Gajewski, G. Jacoby, A. Jennings, S. Lamoureux, A. Lasca, G. MacDonald,
J. Moore, M. Retelle, S. Smith, A. Wolfe, G. Zielinksi,1997: Arctic Environmental
Change of the Last Four Centuries. Science, 278, 1251-1256.
Paeth, H. and H. Hense, 2001: Signal Analysis of the northern hemisphere
atmospheric mean temperature 500/1000 hPa north of 55N between 1949 and 1994.
Clim. Dyn., in press.
Paeth, H., A. Hense, R. Glowenka-Hense, R.Voss and U.Cubasch, 1999: The
North Atlantic Oscillation as an indicator for greenhouse gas induced climate
change. Clim. Dyn., 15, 953-960.
Parker, D.E., M.Gordon, D.P.M.Cullum, D.M.H.Sexton, C.K.Folland and N.Rayner
1997: A new global gridded radiosonse temperature data base and recent temperature
trends. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 1499-1502.
Parkinson, C. L., D. J. Cavalieri, P. Gloersen, H. J. Zwally and J. C.Comiso,
1999: Arctic sea ice extents, areas and trends, 1978-1996, J. Geophys. Res.,
104, 20,837-20,856.
Priestley, M. B., “Spectral Analysis and Time-series”, Volume
1, Academic Press, 1981.
Reader, M.C. and G.J. Boer, 1998: The modification of greenhouse gas
warming by the direct effect of sulphate aerosols. Clim. Dyn., 14, 593-607.
Rind, D., J. Lean and R. Healy, 1999: Simulated time-depended climate
response to solar radiative forcing since 1600. J. Geophys. Res. 104: 1973-1990.
Ripley, B.D. and M. Thompson, 1987: Regression techniques for the detection
of analytical bias. Analyst, 112, 377-383.
Risbey, J., M. Kandlikar and D. Karoly, 2000: A framework to articulate
and quantify uncertainty in climate change detection and attribution. Clim.
Res., 16, 61-78.
Robock, A. and J. Mao 1992: Winter warming from large volcanic eruptions.
Geophys. Res. Lett. 19, 2405-2408.
Robock, A. and M. Free,1995: Ice cores as an index of global volcanism
from 1850 to the present, J. Geophys. Res., 100, 11567-11576.
Robock, A. and M. Jianping, 1995: The volcanic signal in surface temperature
observations. J. Climate, 8, 1086-1103.
Roeckner, E., L. Bengtsson, J. Feichter, J. Lelieveld and H. Rodhe, 1999:
Transient climate change simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM including
the tropospheric sulfur cycle. J. Climate, 12, 3004-3032.
Santer, B.D., T.M.L. Wigley and P.D. Jones, 1993:Correlation methods
in fingerprint detection studies. Clim Dyn., 8, 265-276.
Santer, B.D., K.E. Taylor, J.E. Penner, T.M.L. Wigley, U. Cubasch and
P.D. Jones, 1995: Towards the detection and attribution of an anthropogenic
effect on climate. Clim. Dyn., 12, 77-100.
Santer, B.D., K.E. Taylor, T.M.L. Wigley, P.D. Jones, D.J. Karoly, J.F.B.
Mitchell, A.H. Oort, J.E.Penner, V. Ramaswamy, M.D. Schwarzkopf, R.S. Stouffer
and S.F.B. Tett, 1996a: A search for human influences on the thermal structure
in the atmosphere. Nature, 382, 39-46.
Santer, B.D., K.E. Taylor, T.M.L. Wigley, T.C. Johns, P.D. Jones, D.J.
Karoly, J.F.B. Mitchell, A.H. Oort, J.E. Penner, V. Ramaswamy, M.D. Schwartzkopf,
R.J. Stouffer and S.F.B. Tett, 1996b: Human effect on global climate? Nature,
384, 522-524.
Santer, B.D., T.M.L. Wigley, T.P. Barnett, E. Anyamba, 1996c: Detection
of climate change and attribution of causes. in: J. T. Houghton et al. (eds.)
Climate change 1995. The IPCC Second Scientific Assessment, Cambridge University
Press, Cambridge, pp. 407-444.
Santer, B.D., T.M.L. Wigley, D.J. Gaffen, C. Doutriaux, J.S. Boyle, M.
Esch, J.J. Hnilo, P.D. Jones, G.A. Meehl, E. Roeckner, K.E. Taylor and M.F.
Wehner 2000: Interpreting Differential Temperature Trends at the Surface and
in the lower Troposphere, Science, 287, 1227-1231.
Sato, M., J.E. Hansen, M.P. McCormick and J. Pollack, 1993: Statospheric
aerosol optical depths (1850-1990). J. Geophys. Res. 98, 22987-22994
Schönwiese, C.-D., M. Denhard, J. Grieser and A. Walter, 1997: Assessments
of the global anthropogenic greenhouse and sulphate signal using different types
of simplified climate models. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 57, 119-124.
Schneider T and I. Held, 2001: Discriminants of twentieth-century changes
in Earth surface temperatures. J. Climate, 14, 249-254.
Schnur, R., 2001: Detection of climate change using advanced climate
diagnostics: seasonal and diurnal cycle. Max-Planck-Institut fuer Meteorologie,
Report No. 312, Bundesstr. 55, 20146 Hamburg, Germany.
Sexton, D.M.H., D.P. Rowell, C.K. Folland and D.J. Karoly, 2001: Detection
of anthropogenic climate change using an atmospheric GCM. Clim. Dyn., in press.
Shindell, D. T., R.L. Miller, G. Schmidt and L. Pandolfo, 1999: Simulation
of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing. Nature,
399, 452-455.
Shindell, D. T., G.Schmidt, R.L. Miller and D. Rind, 2001: Northern Hemispheric
climate response to greenhouse gas, ozone, solar and volcanic forcing. J. Geophys.
Res. (Atmospheres), in press.
Simkin, T., L.Siebert, L.McClelland, D.Bridge, C.G.Newhall and J.H. Latter,
1981: Volcanoes of the World, 232 pp. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, 1981
Smith, R.L., T.M.L. Wigley and B.D. Santer, 2001: A bivariate time-series
approach to anthropogenic trend detection in hemospheric mean temperatures.
J. Climate, in press.
Stephenson, D.B., 1997: Correlation of spatial climate/weather maps and
the advantages of using the Mahalonbis metric in predictions. Tellus, 49A,
513-527.
Stevens, M.J. and G.R. North, 1996: Detection of the climate response
to the solar cycle. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 2594-2608.
Stothers, R.B., 1996. Major optical depth perturbations to the stratosphere
from volcanic eruptions: Pyrheliometric period 1881-1960. J.Geophys. Res., 101,
3901-3920.
Stott, P. A. and S.F.B. Tett,1998: Scale-dependent detection of climate
change. J. Climate, 11: 3282-3294.
Stott, P.A., M.R. Allen and G.S. Jones, 2000a: Estimating signal amplitudes
in optimal fingerprinting II: Application to general circulation models. Hadley
Centre Tech Note 20, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Response, Meteorological
Office, RG12 2SY UK.
Stott, P.A., S.F.B. Tett, G.S. Jones, M.R. Allen, J.F.B.Mitchell and
G.J. Jenkins, 2000b: External control of twentieth century temperature variations
by natural and anthropogenic forcings. Science, 15, 2133-2137.
Stott, P.A., S.F.B. Tett, G.S. Jones, M.R. Allen, W.J. Ingram and J.F.B.
Mitchell, 2001: Attribution of Twentieth Century Temperature Change to Natural
and Anthropogenic Causes. Clim. Dyn. 17,1-22.
Stouffer, R.J., G.C. Hegerl and S.F.B. Tett, 1999: A comparison of Surface
Air Temperature Variability in Three 1000-Year Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model
Integrations. J. Climate, 13, 513-537.
Svensmark, H. and E. Friis-Christensen, 1997: Variations of cosmic ray
flux and global cloud coverage – a missing link in solar-climate relationships.
J. Atmos. Solar-Terrestrial Phys., 59, 1226-1232.
Svensmark, H., 1998: Influence of cosmic rays on Earth’s climate.
Phys. Rev. Lett., 81, 5027-5030.
Tett, S.F.B., J.F.B. Mitchell, D.E. Parker and M.R. Allen, 1996: Human
Influence on the Atmospheric Vertical Temperature Structure: Detection and Observations.
Science, 274, 1170-1173.
Tett, S.F.B., P.A. Stott, M.A. Allen, W.J. Ingram and J.F.B. Mitchell,
1999: Causes of twentieth century temperature change. Nature, 399, 569-572.
Tett, S.F.B., G.S. Jones, P.A. Stott, D.C. Hill, J.F.B. Mitchell, M.R.
Allen, W.J. Ingram, T.C. Johns, C.E. Johnson, A. Jones, D.L. Roberts, D.M.H.
Sexton and M.J. Woodage, 2000: Estimation of natural and anthropogenic contributions
to 20th century. Hadley Centre Tech Note 19, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction
and Response, Meteorological Office, RG12 2SY, UK pp52.
Thejll, P. and K. Lassen, 2000: Solar forcing of the Northern Hemisphere
land air temperature: New data. J. Atmos. Solar-Terrestrial Phys, 62,1207-1213.
Thompson, D.W.J. and J.M. Wallace, 1998: The Arctic oscillation signature
in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys. Res.
Lett., 25, 1297-1300.
Thompson, D.W.J., J.M. Wallace and G.C. Hegerl 2000: Annular Modes in
the Extratropical Circulation. Part II Trends. J. Climate, 13, 1018-1036
.
Tol, R.S.J. and P. Vellinga, 1998: ‘Climate Change, the Enhanced
Greenhouse Effect and the Influence of the Sun: A Statistical Analysis’,
Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 61, 1-7.
Tol, R.S.J. and A.F. de Vos, 1998: A Bayesian statistical analysis of
the enhanced greenhouse effect. Clim. Change, 38, 87-112.
van Loon, H. and D. J. Shea, 1999: A probable signal of the 11-year solar
cycle in the troposphere of the Northern Hemisphere, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26,
2893-2896.
van Loon, H. and D. J. Shea, 2000: The global 11-year solar signal in
July-August. J. Geophys. Res., 27, 2965-2968.
Vinnikov, K. Y., A.Robock, R. J.Stouffer, J.E.Walsh, C. L. Parkinson,
D.J.Cavalieri, J.F.B Mitchell, D.Garrett and V.F. Zakharov, 1999: Global warming
and Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent. Science, 286, 1934-1937.
Volodin, E.M. and V.Y. Galin, 1999: Interpretation of winter warming
on Northern Hemisphere continents 1977-94. J. Climate, 12, 2947-2955.
Walter, A., M. Denhard, C.-D. Schoenwiese, 1998: Simulation of global
and hemispheric temperature variation and signal detection studies using neural
networks. Meteor. Zeitschrift, N.F. 7, 171-180.
Weber, G.R., 1996: Human effect on global climate? Nature, 384,
524-525.
White, W.B., J. Lean, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 1997: A response
of global upper ocean temperature to changing solar irradiance. J. Geophys.
Res., 102, 3255-3266.
Wigley, T.M.L., P.D. Jones and S.C.B. Raper, 1997: The observed global
warming record: What does it tell us? Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 94,
8314-8320.
Wigley, T.M.L., R.L. Smith and B.D. Santer, 1998a: Anthropogenic influence
on the autocorrelation structure of hemispheric-mean temperatures. Science,
282, 1676-1679.
Wigley, T.M.L., P.J. Jaumann, B.D. Santer and K.E Taylor, 1998b: Relative
detectablility of greenhouse gas and aerosol climate change signals Clim Dyn,
14, 781-790.
Wigley, T.M.L., B.D.Santer and K.E.Taylor, 2000: Correlation approaches
to detection. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27, 2973-2976.
WMO, 1999: Scientific assessment of ozone depletion : 1998, Global Ozone
Research and Monitoring Project, World Meteorological Organisation, Report No.
44, Geneva.
Wong, A.P.S., N.L. Bindoff and J.A. Church, 1999: Large-scale freshening
of intermediate water masses in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Nature, 400,
440-443.
Zheng, X. and R.E. Basher, 1999: Structural time-series models and trend
detection in global and regional temperature series. J. Climate, 12,
2347-2358.
Zwiers, F.W., 1999: The detection of climate change. In “Anthropogenic
Climate Change”, H. von Storch and G. Floeser, eds., Springer-Verlag, 161-206.
Zwiers, F.W. and S.S. Shen, 1997: Errors in estimating spherical harmonic
coefficients from partially sampled GCM output. Clim. Dyn., 13, 703-716.
|
Other reports in this collection |
|