Figure 23: Analysis of inter-model
consistency in regional precipitation change. Regions are classified as showing
either agreement on increase with an average change of greater than 20% (‘Large
increase’), agreement on increase with an average change between 5 and 20% (‘Small
increase’), agreement on a change between –5 and +5% or agreement with an average
change between –5 and 5% (‘No change’), agreement on decrease with an average
change between –5 and -20% (‘Small decrease’), agreement on decrease with
an average change of less than -20% (‘Large decrease’), or disagreement (‘Inconsistent
sign’). A consistent result from at least seven of the nine models is deemed necessary
for agreement. [Based on Chapter
10, Box
1, Figure
2]
